MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BOS @ LAA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
vs
9:38 PM EDT
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
Angel StadiumElevation 151 ftCenter Field 396 ft

BOS Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate8.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB8.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Sonny Gray's full player page →
LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)14.7%3.0 PA
2Nolan Schanuel (L)10.1%3.0 PA
3Denzer Guzman (R)9.3%3.0 PA
4Jorge Soler (R)11.3%3.0 PA
5Wade Meckler (L)12.8%3.0 PA
6Jo Adell (R)10.4%3.0 PA
7Oswald Peraza (R)9.0%2.3 PA
8Josh Lowe (L)10.7%2.0 PA
9Logan O'Hoppe (R)9.8%2.0 PA

LAA Sam Aldegheri · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.8%
vs RHB11.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.4 BF

Expected batters faced18.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Sam Aldegheri's full player page →
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Anthony Seigler (R)11.1%2.4 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)12.9%2.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)13.7%2.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)13.4%2.0 PA
5Romy Gonzalez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)10.4%2.0 PA
7Nate Eaton (R)10.7%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)15.0%2.0 PA
9Connor Wong (R)13.1%2.0 PA