‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
PHI @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
8:10 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Lane Thomas (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Starling Marte (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nick Loftin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.5 PA
8Isaac Collins (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kameron Misner (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Michael Wacha · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.7 BF
Expected batters faced25.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.7 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)11.7%2.0 PA