‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
TB @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
7:10 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft
Drew Rasmussen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)12.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)15.1%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)10.8%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)10.8%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.4%3.0 PA
6Taylor Trammell (L)12.6%2.2 PA
7Yainer Diaz (R)9.4%2.0 PA
8Jake Meyers (R)10.8%2.0 PA
9Nick Allen (R)10.7%2.0 PA
Hunter Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate7.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)12.8%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)13.2%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)14.2%3.0 PA
4Cedric Mullins (L)12.9%2.9 PA
5Jonny DeLuca (R)12.2%2.0 PA
6Victor Mesa Jr. (L)12.5%2.0 PA
7Ben Williamson (R)12.1%2.0 PA
8Taylor Walls (L)14.6%2.0 PA
9Nick Fortes (R)9.2%2.0 PA