‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
BAL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft
Brandon Young · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.0%
vs RHB8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.1 BF
Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Elly De La Cruz (L)13.9%3.0 PA
2Sal Stewart (R)12.7%3.0 PA
3Spencer Steer (R)13.3%3.0 PA
4Eugenio Suárez (R)10.0%3.0 PA
5Noelvi Marte (R)11.6%3.0 PA
6JJ Bleday (L)11.8%3.0 PA
7Tyler Stephenson (R)10.3%2.1 PA
8Matt McLain (R)10.3%2.0 PA
9Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Hunter Greene · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Gunnar Henderson (L)14.4%3.0 PA
2Adley Rutschman (L)11.5%3.0 PA
3Taylor Ward (R)12.0%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)13.9%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)11.0%3.0 PA
6Dylan Beavers (L)12.3%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)12.7%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)12.3%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)11.9%2.0 PA