‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
STL @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
8:08 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.0% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.5%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)13.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)16.1%2.5 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%2.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)12.9%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)14.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)16.6%2.0 PA
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.6%
vs RHB10.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)9.5%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)12.5%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)12.7%3.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)11.4%3.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)9.9%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.7%2.1 PA
7José Fermín (R)12.3%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)12.4%2.0 PA