‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026
NYM @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
vs
8:08 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Sean Manaea · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB12.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.7 BF
Expected batters faced19.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)13.1%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (R)10.6%2.7 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Mauricio Dubón (R)10.4%2.0 PA
5Michael Harris II (L)10.7%2.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)10.6%2.0 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.4%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)14.9%2.0 PA
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate6.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1A.J. Ewing (L)9.7%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)11.9%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.8%3.0 PA
4Francisco Lindor (R)12.0%3.0 PA
5Carson Benge (L)13.6%3.0 PA
6Jared Young (L)9.8%3.0 PA
7Francisco Alvarez (R)9.9%2.8 PA
8Brett Baty (L)13.3%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)10.6%2.0 PA