MIL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

9:40 PM EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks

◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

Brandon Woodruff · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.7%

vs RHB9.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Brandon Woodruff's full player page →

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ketel Marte (L)11.6%3.0 PA

2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.3%3.0 PA

3Corbin Carroll (L)12.7%2.8 PA

4Gabriel Moreno (R)12.1%2.0 PA

5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.4%2.0 PA

6Adrian Del Castillo (L)9.9%2.0 PA

7Nolan Arenado (R)11.5%2.0 PA

8Pavin Smith (L)9.4%2.0 PA

9Tommy Troy (R)12.7%2.0 PA

Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate13.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB13.6%

vs RHB11.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.1 BF

Expected batters faced25.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Merrill Kelly's full player page →

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Christian Yelich (L)14.5%3.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)13.2%3.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)14.2%3.0 PA

4William Contreras (R)12.9%3.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)16.4%3.0 PA

6Garrett Mitchell (L)14.4%3.0 PA

7Sal Frelick (L)11.9%3.0 PA

8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.1 PA

9David Hamilton (L)11.9%2.0 PA