MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

NYM @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
vs
12:30 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.2% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Nolan McLean's full player page →
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)13.3%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)13.2%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (L)16.2%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)13.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)9.7%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)11.3%2.9 PA
7Eli White (R)12.8%2.0 PA
8Joey Bart (R)11.0%2.0 PA
9Jorge Mateo (R)15.4%2.0 PA

ATL Martín Pérez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.1% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.2%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Martín Pérez's full player page →
NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Francisco Lindor (R)12.0%3.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)11.8%3.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.9%3.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Eric Wagaman (R)12.1%2.0 PA
6Francisco Alvarez (R)9.8%2.0 PA
7Carson Benge (L)13.0%2.0 PA
8Tyrone Taylor (R)11.5%2.0 PA
9Brett Baty (L)13.3%2.0 PA