MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

MIL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
4:00 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIL Brandon Sproat · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.6% Runs / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB12.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Brandon Sproat's full player page →
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.5%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.2%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)12.6%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)11.8%2.0 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.9%2.0 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)11.3%2.0 PA
7Ildemaro Vargas (L)12.1%2.0 PA
8LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)12.3%2.0 PA

AZ Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate7.3% Runs / BF

vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Eduardo Rodriguez's full player page →
MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.6%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.1%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.8%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)12.3%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)10.0%3.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)10.0%2.6 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)9.7%2.0 PA
8Cooper Pratt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9David Hamilton (L)12.5%2.0 PA