‹ Earned Runs · Monday, July 6, 2026
MIL @ STL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, July 6, 2026
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
7:45 PM EDT
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Shane Drohan · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.5 BF
Expected batters faced19.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)9.4%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)13.4%2.5 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)9.7%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)14.2%2.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)11.5%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)12.9%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)13.9%2.0 PA
8José Fermín (R)13.1%2.0 PA
9Bryan Torres (L)12.7%2.0 PA
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate16.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB15.9%
vs RHB12.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Brice Turang (L)14.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)14.0%3.0 PA
3Christian Yelich (L)14.6%3.0 PA
4Andrew Vaughn (R)9.3%2.9 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)16.5%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)14.5%2.0 PA
7Gary Sánchez (R)11.8%2.0 PA
8David Hamilton (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)11.5%2.0 PA