MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Earned Runs · Monday, July 6, 2026

AZ @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Monday, July 6, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
vs
9:40 PM EDT
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft

AZ Brandon Pfaadt · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate11.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB14.0%
vs RHB9.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.2 BF

Expected batters faced13.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Brandon Pfaadt's full player page →
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)13.0%2.0 PA
2Jake Cronenworth (L)11.1%2.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)12.5%2.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Ty France (R)11.0%1.2 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)12.7%1.0 PA
7Xander Bogaerts (R)11.8%1.0 PA
8Sung-Mun Song (L)12.7%1.0 PA
9Luis Campusano (R)12.5%1.0 PA

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate12.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB7.9%
vs RHB17.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Walker Buehler's full player page →
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)13.0%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)12.3%2.8 PA
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)8.9%2.0 PA
6Ildemaro Vargas (L)12.0%2.0 PA
7Tim Tawa (R)9.6%2.0 PA
8Pavin Smith (L)9.0%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA