‹ Earned Runs · Monday, July 6, 2026
NYM @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, July 6, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft
Freddy Peralta · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate13.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB13.7%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)13.3%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)16.5%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)13.8%3.0 PA
4Michael Harris II (L)12.4%3.0 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)14.1%3.0 PA
6Dominic Smith (L)12.1%2.5 PA
7Austin Riley (R)10.3%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.4%2.0 PA
9Jim Jarvis (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Reynaldo López · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate8.5% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload12.8 BF
Expected batters faced12.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Francisco Lindor (L)12.5%2.0 PA
2Juan Soto (L)12.8%2.0 PA
3Bo Bichette (R)11.3%2.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)9.9%1.8 PA
5Carson Benge (L)11.8%1.0 PA
6Tyrone Taylor (R)10.0%1.0 PA
7A.J. Ewing (L)11.4%1.0 PA
8Luis Torrens (R)10.4%1.0 PA
9Brett Baty (L)9.6%1.0 PA