‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
NYY @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
NYY
New York Yankees
vs
6:40 PM EDT
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft
Will Warren · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.1% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.5%
vs RHB10.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)12.0%3.0 PA
2Jonathan Aranda (L)13.0%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)14.5%3.0 PA
4Cedric Mullins (L)13.2%3.0 PA
5Jonny DeLuca (R)12.1%3.0 PA
6Chandler Simpson (L)11.5%2.6 PA
7Nick Fortes (R)9.9%2.0 PA
8Richie Palacios (L)12.1%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)15.2%2.0 PA
Ian Seymour · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate9.3% Runs / BF
vs LHB12.8%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload17.4 BF
Expected batters faced17.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
NYY lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trent Grisham (L)12.5%2.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)11.3%2.0 PA
3Paul Goldschmidt (R)14.3%2.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)10.7%2.0 PA
5Jasson Domínguez (R)10.5%2.0 PA
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)9.7%2.0 PA
7José Caballero (R)14.3%2.0 PA
8Ryan McMahon (L)8.1%2.0 PA
9Austin Wells (L)8.6%1.4 PA