‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
CHC @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
vs
6:35 PM EDT
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft
Matthew Boyd · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.6% Runs / BF
vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Adley Rutschman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Leody Taveras (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jeremiah Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate11.4% Runs / BF
vs LHB11.9%
vs RHB10.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Carson Kelly (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kevin Alcántara (R)11.7%2.0 PA