MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits Allowed · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI @ KC Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
3:00 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate25.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.4%
vs RHB25.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.5%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Aaron Nola's full player page →
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)22.0%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)26.6%3.0 PA
3Lane Thomas (R)18.4%3.0 PA
4Jac Caglianone (L)19.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Loftin (R)19.1%2.3 PA
6Starling Marte (R)22.8%2.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)21.8%2.0 PA
8Michael Massey (L)23.4%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)23.8%2.0 PA

KC Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate21.3% Hits / BF

vs LHB21.4%
vs RHB21.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.7 BF

Expected batters faced18.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Luinder Avila's full player page →
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)26.2%2.7 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)20.2%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)23.3%2.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)26.5%2.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)23.2%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)23.0%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)23.2%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)24.6%2.0 PA