MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits Allowed · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL @ CHC Hits Allowed matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
2:30 PM EDT
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate24.4% Hits / BF

vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB24.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Matthew Liberatore's full player page →
CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.5%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)22.9%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)19.6%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)22.3%2.2 PA
5Ian Happ (R)20.0%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)31.1%2.0 PA
7Michael Conforto (L)23.1%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)25.4%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)25.6%2.0 PA

CHC Javier Assad · RHP

Pitcher hits allowed Rate23.2% Hits / BF

vs LHB24.0%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up hits allowed to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.5 BF

Expected batters faced17.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 H

Expected hits allowed — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Javier Assad's full player page →
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)23.4%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)23.4%2.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)21.9%2.0 PA
4Nelson Velázquez (R)22.9%2.0 PA
5Alec Burleson (L)25.8%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)22.6%2.0 PA
7José Fermín (R)23.5%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)22.5%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)20.7%1.4 PA