MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · SS · Houston Astros

Carlos Correa

Carlos Correa — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 54.2/100.

Today's top board
54.2
Hits · vs LAD
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 5/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
28
this season, box-score final
Carlos Correa
SSBats RThrows RHouston Astros
Hits54.2/100proj 1#68Home Runs21.5/100proj 0.1#143

Today's matchup

Carlos is hosting Los Angeles Dodgers on the Monday, May 4, 2026 slate. He lands on 2 of our boards — hits (54.2/100, #68), home runs (21.5/100, #143). We project Carlos for 1 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Carlos is 6-for-21 (.286) with 1 homer. The full log's below.

How our calls on Carlos have done

When we've ranked Carlos a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 5 of 7 games (71%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Carlos's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Monday, May 4vs LAD40000
Sunday, May 3@ BOS30000
Saturday, May 2@ BOS42011
Friday, May 1@ BOS53111
Thursday, April 30@ BAL51000
Tuesday, April 28@ BAL51000
Sunday, April 26vs NYY20010
Saturday, April 25vs NYY32121
Wednesday, April 22@ CLE41010
Tuesday, April 21@ CLE42001
Monday, April 20@ CLE53012
Sunday, April 19vs STL30001

Carlos Correa — FAQ

Who is Carlos Correa facing today?

Carlos Correa is hosting Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday, May 4, 2026. His best matchup grades 54.2/100 on our hits board.

What's Carlos Correa's projection today?

We project Carlos for 1 on the hits board (home vs LAD). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Carlos Correa done?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Carlos a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times (71%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).