MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Tuesday, March 31, 2026

DET @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, March 31, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
57
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 86°F Partly CloudyWind 1 mph, In From RF

DET Casey Mize · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB18.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BRBetRivers+138-186
BOVBovada+135-180
DKDraftKings+124-158
MBMyBookie+123-171

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Casey Mize's full player page →
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)19.6%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)21.3%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)20.1%3.0 PA
4Gabriel Moreno (R)19.9%3.0 PA
5Alek Thomas (L)22.3%3.0 PA
6Jose Fernandez (R)22.0%2.0 PA
7Carlos Santana (L)22.0%2.0 PA
8James McCann (R)25.2%2.0 PA
9Jordan Lawlar (R)24.4%2.0 PA

AZ Brandon Pfaadt · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB24.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-105
BRBetRivers-130-103
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-139+109
FANFanatics-130+100
MBMyBookie-133-104

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Brandon Pfaadt's full player page →
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Matt Vierling (R)22.7%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)20.6%3.0 PA
3Gleyber Torres (R)20.2%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)23.5%3.0 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)29.6%3.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)27.6%2.0 PA
7Zach McKinstry (L)22.1%2.0 PA
8Parker Meadows (L)22.3%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)24.1%2.0 PA