MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · P · Detroit Tigers

Casey Mize

Casey Mize — 3-5, 2.63 ERA this season. The model's read on his matchups, graded in the open.

Today's top board
No game on the current slate
Season line · ERA
2.63
3-5 · 68 K, 0.97 WHIP
Games graded
12
this season, box-score final
Casey Mize
PBats RThrows RDetroit Tigers

Today's matchup

Casey isn't on the current slate — no scored matchup right now. His recent game log and season record are below, and this page updates the moment he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Last time out, Casey struck out 10 over 7.0 innings, 0 earned. His recent starts are in the game log below.

Casey's recent starts

Over his last 5 starts, Casey has 29 strikeouts in 28.0 innings. Strikeouts are where our model has a real, graded edge — his start-by-start log is below.

How the model reads him

Casey's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppIPKHERBB
Monday, June 29@ NYY7.010100
Tuesday, June 23vs NYY5.76841
Wednesday, June 17@ HOU4.73631
Wednesday, May 27vs LAA4.06201
Thursday, May 21vs CLE6.74420
Saturday, May 16vs TOR6.04200
Tuesday, April 28@ ATL2.33321
Wednesday, April 22vs MIL6.07313
Friday, April 17@ BOS6.77301
Saturday, April 11vs MIA5.75611
Monday, April 6@ MIN4.34753
Tuesday, March 31@ AZ6.09412

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).