MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Friday, April 3, 2026

PHI @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
101
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 51°F SunnyWind 19 mph, In From LF

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+120
BOLBetOnline-149+115
BRBetRivers-175+130
BOVBovada-150+115
FDFanDuel-152+114
MBMyBookie-152+109

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Aaron Nola's full player page →
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Troy Johnston (L)22.7%3.0 PA
2Hunter Goodman (R)25.9%3.0 PA
3Mickey Moniak (L)24.6%3.0 PA
4Edouard Julien (L)27.9%3.0 PA
5TJ Rumfield (L)22.5%2.9 PA
6Willi Castro (L)24.6%2.0 PA
7Brenton Doyle (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Jake McCarthy (L)20.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)23.7%2.0 PA

COL Michael Lorenzen · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-160
BOLBetOnline+124-161
BRBetRivers+135-182
BOVBovada+115-150
DKDraftKings+123-157
FANFanatics+125-165
FDFanDuel+116-154
MBMyBookie+117-163

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael Lorenzen's full player page →
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Edmundo Sosa (R)22.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)23.9%3.0 PA
3Dylan Moore (R)27.7%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)17.3%3.0 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)21.3%2.9 PA
6Otto Kemp (R)23.9%2.0 PA
7Brandon Marsh (L)18.4%2.0 PA
8J.T. Realmuto (R)22.8%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)22.2%2.0 PA