MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Friday, April 3, 2026

SD @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
25
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 56°F SunnyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

SD Michael King · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB23.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+110
BOLBetOnline-147+114
BRBetRivers-137+104
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-134+105
FDFanDuel-136+102
MBMyBookie-150+108

We project 6.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael King's full player page →
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Roman Anthony (L)28.5%3.0 PA
2Trevor Story (R)29.4%3.0 PA
3Jarren Duran (L)22.8%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)24.6%3.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)21.4%2.7 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)22.7%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)25.8%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)24.5%2.0 PA
9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.9%2.0 PA

BOS Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB22.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-115
BOLBetOnline-101-128
BRBetRivers+107-141
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings-101-127
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie-105-131

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Sonny Gray's full player page →
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.6%3.0 PA
2Xander Bogaerts (R)19.4%3.0 PA
3Jackson Merrill (L)20.1%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)21.5%3.0 PA
5Ramón Laureano (R)23.3%2.7 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)22.9%2.0 PA
7Gavin Sheets (L)23.8%2.0 PA
8Jake Cronenworth (L)22.5%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)21.6%2.0 PA