MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Tuesday, April 7, 2026

HOU @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, April 7, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
15
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From CF

HOU Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%
vs RHB24.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-147+115
FDFanDuel-138+104

We project 5.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Mike Burrows's full player page →
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Hunter Goodman (R)26.8%3.0 PA
2Mickey Moniak (L)21.6%3.0 PA
3Ezequiel Tovar (R)23.1%3.0 PA
4Troy Johnston (L)22.1%3.0 PA
5TJ Rumfield (L)21.7%3.0 PA
6Willi Castro (L)23.8%2.4 PA
7Brenton Doyle (R)26.1%2.0 PA
8Brett Sullivan (L)22.6%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)26.7%2.0 PA

COL Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%
vs RHB19.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-102
BOLBetOnline-139+107
BRBetRivers-152+114
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-146+115
FANFanatics-140+105
FDFanDuel-138+104
MBMyBookie-143+103

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Kyle Freeland's full player page →
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)19.3%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)19.1%3.0 PA
3Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)20.3%3.0 PA
5Christian Walker (R)23.1%2.7 PA
6Cam Smith (R)24.7%2.0 PA
7Jake Meyers (R)22.6%2.0 PA
8Yainer Diaz (R)21.3%2.0 PA
9Joey Loperfido (L)22.3%2.0 PA