MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

PHI @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
05
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 63°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Varies

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%
vs RHB31.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)25.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline-111-116
BRBetRivers+114-152
DKDraftKings+110-140
FANFanatics-105-125
FDFanDuel+106-140
MBMyBookie-115-120

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Aaron Nola's full player page →
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Willy Adames (R)23.6%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)13.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Chapman (R)20.7%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)25.3%3.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)19.4%3.0 PA
6Jared Oliva (R)22.0%2.1 PA
7Harrison Bader (R)24.6%2.0 PA
8Patrick Bailey (L)21.0%2.0 PA
9Christian Koss (R)20.1%2.0 PA

SF Tyler Mahle · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.3%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-101-128
BRBetRivers-107-125
DKDraftKings+102-130
FDFanDuel-102-130
MBMyBookie-105-131

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Tyler Mahle's full player page →
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)20.4%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)25.3%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)21.2%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)18.6%3.0 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)20.7%2.4 PA
6Adolis García (R)23.7%2.0 PA
7Dylan Moore (R)24.0%2.0 PA
8Rafael Marchán (L)20.3%2.0 PA
9Otto Kemp (R)24.7%2.0 PA