MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 11, 2026

BOS @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
71
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 73°F CloudyWind 9 mph, In From RF

BOS Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%
vs RHB19.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-115-112
BRBetRivers-129-104
BOVBovada-145+110
DKDraftKings-155+121
FDFanDuel-130-102
MBMyBookie-119-116

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Ranger Suarez's full player page →
STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)21.5%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.9%3.0 PA
3Jordan Walker (R)24.6%3.0 PA
4Nolan Gorman (L)25.9%3.0 PA
5Ramón Urías (R)23.1%2.2 PA
6José Fermín (R)21.0%2.0 PA
7Alec Burleson (L)17.8%2.0 PA
8Nathan Church (L)23.0%2.0 PA
9Yohel Pozo (R)19.2%2.0 PA

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.2% K / BF

vs LHB18.0%
vs RHB19.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-155
BOLBetOnline+117-152
BRBetRivers+116-155
BOVBovada+105-135
DKDraftKings+130-167
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+104-138
MBMyBookie+111-154

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Roman Anthony (L)26.2%3.0 PA
2Caleb Durbin (R)20.6%3.0 PA
3Jarren Duran (L)25.1%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)25.6%3.0 PA
5Wilyer Abreu (L)23.9%3.0 PA
6Trevor Story (R)28.4%2.1 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)27.4%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)22.7%2.0 PA
9Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.8%2.0 PA