MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Saturday, April 11, 2026

PIT @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, April 11, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
43
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft 48°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From RF

PIT Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%
vs RHB20.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135+100
BOLBetOnline-147+113
BRBetRivers-137+104
BOVBovada-160+120
DKDraftKings-146+115
FDFanDuel-158+118
MBMyBookie-153+111

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)14.1%3.0 PA
2Matt Shaw (R)20.5%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)15.4%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)25.9%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.7%3.0 PA
6Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)20.9%2.0 PA
7Miguel Amaya (R)20.1%2.0 PA
8Michael Conforto (L)25.2%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)24.5%2.0 PA

CHC Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%
vs RHB26.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-145
BOLBetOnline+112-145
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+105-134
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+112-148
MBMyBookie+107-148

We project 5.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Edward Cabrera's full player page →
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Jake Mangum (L)22.9%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.5%3.0 PA
5Marcell Ozuna (R)24.6%2.5 PA
6Nick Yorke (R)19.5%2.0 PA
7Nick Gonzales (R)18.4%2.0 PA
8Konnor Griffin (R)20.9%2.0 PA
9Joey Bart (R)25.9%2.0 PA