MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Strikeouts · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI @ KC Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
3:00 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

PHI Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%
vs RHB23.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 7vs CWS4
Jun 13@ MIL3
Jun 18vs NYM6
Jun 24@ WSH5
Jun 29vs PIT5
Aaron Nola's full player page →
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)25.9%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.2%3.0 PA
3Lane Thomas (R)24.4%3.0 PA
4Jac Caglianone (L)26.3%3.0 PA
5Nick Loftin (R)17.2%2.5 PA
6Starling Marte (R)23.3%2.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)21.3%2.0 PA
8Michael Massey (L)16.0%2.0 PA
9Tyler Tolbert (R)22.9%2.0 PA

KC Luinder Avila · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.1 BF

Expected batters faced20.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 6@ MIN3
Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 17@ WSH5
Jun 23@ TB6
Jun 28@ CWS4
Luinder Avila's full player page →
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)31.5%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)19.8%2.1 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)23.8%2.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)17.0%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)18.6%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.0%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)20.7%2.0 PA