‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
PHI @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
7–4
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, R To L
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Charles McAdoo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Max Scherzer · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.1 BF
Expected batters faced19.1
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)11.7%2.1 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA