MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

LAD @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
89
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To LF

LAD Shohei Ohtani · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.2 PA
7Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

PIT Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)11.7%2.2 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)11.7%2.0 PA