MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

HOU @ LAA Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
23
Final
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
Angel StadiumElevation 151 ftCenter Field 396 ft 75°F ClearWind 9 mph, Out To LF

HOU Peter Lambert · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mike Trout (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wade Meckler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jo Adell (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Oswald Peraza (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nick Madrigal (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Trey Mancini (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Siri (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Logan O'Hoppe (R)11.7%2.0 PA

LAA Reid Detmers · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Shay Whitcomb (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA