MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

MIN @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
64
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, R To L

MIN Mike Paredes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.2 BF

Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.7%2.2 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)11.7%2.0 PA

DET Framber Valdez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brooks Lee (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA