‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
CHC @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
2–3
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 88°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, R To L
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.5 BF
Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Karros (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.5 PA
8Braxton Fulford (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chad Stevens (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.2 PA
7Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Michael Conforto (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA