MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

SEA @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
27
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 76°F CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To CF

SEA George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Colton Cowser (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.9 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sam Huff (R)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Brandon Young · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Cole Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.1 PA
8Miles Mastrobuoni (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%2.0 PA