‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
STL @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
4–5
Final
NYM
New York Mets
◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 91°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To RF
Hunter Dobbins · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.3 BF
Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)11.7%2.3 PA
4Jared Young (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Francisco Alvarez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Christian Scott · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.5 BF
Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%2.5 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)11.7%2.0 PA