‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
AZ @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
0–2
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.3 BF
Expected batters faced25.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.3 PA
9Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Tyler Phillips · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.2 BF
Expected batters faced16.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)11.7%1.2 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)11.7%1.0 PA