‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
MIN @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
0–11
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R
Zebby Matthews · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.9 PA
7Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Keider Montero · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Brooks Lee (L)11.7%2.5 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.0 PA