‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
CHC @ COL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
9–3
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 73°F SunnyWind 15 mph, In From CF
Edward Cabrera · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.7 BF
Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Edouard Julien (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Willi Castro (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.7 PA
6Cole Carrigg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Ryan Feltner · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload19.9 BF
Expected batters faced19.9
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)11.7%2.9 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA