SEA @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

5–7

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 94°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF

Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.9 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA

Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Cole Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.3 PA

7Miles Mastrobuoni (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Jhonny Pereda (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA