MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026

SEA @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
102
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 81°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

SEA Bryce Miller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)17.5%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)12.5%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)14.0%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)15.5%2.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)10.1%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)13.6%2.0 PA
7Jacob Young (R)12.2%2.0 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)10.2%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (L)12.2%2.0 PA

WSH Zack Littell · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Cole Young (L)11.4%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)12.4%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)10.4%2.9 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)13.8%2.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.5%2.0 PA
6Dominic Canzone (L)14.1%2.0 PA
7Miles Mastrobuoni (L)10.4%2.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)9.1%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)13.7%2.0 PA