MIA @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

8–3

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF

Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)15.4%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.7%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)12.5%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)14.1%3.0 PA

6Tyler Callihan (L)14.7%3.0 PA

7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.9%3.0 PA

8Jake Mangum (L)12.0%2.2 PA

9Jared Triolo (R)9.8%2.0 PA

Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Liam Hicks (L)13.1%3.0 PA

2Otto Lopez (R)14.8%3.0 PA

3Kyle Stowers (L)11.8%3.0 PA

4Xavier Edwards (L)11.5%3.0 PA

5Heriberto Hernández (R)12.3%3.0 PA

6Owen Caissie (L)11.6%3.0 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)11.2%3.0 PA

8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)9.3%2.0 PA