‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026
STL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
8–9
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 79°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To CF
Kyle Leahy · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)14.1%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)14.5%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)13.5%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)13.3%3.0 PA
5Royce Lewis (R)8.9%2.9 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)8.5%2.0 PA
7Brooks Lee (L)11.4%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)11.2%2.0 PA
9Luke Keaschall (R)11.4%2.0 PA
Joe Ryan · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)15.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)14.3%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)13.8%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Lars Nootbaar (L)11.4%2.3 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.0%2.0 PA
7Jimmy Crooks (L)9.2%2.0 PA
8Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nathan Church (L)11.5%2.0 PA