TEX @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

TEX

Texas Rangers

1–10

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, L To R

Jack Leiter · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Mickey Gasper (L)12.6%3.0 PA

2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)9.4%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.5%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)10.0%3.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)11.9%3.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%3.0 PA

7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)14.2%2.3 PA

8Marcelo Mayer (L)10.4%2.0 PA

9Connor Wong (R)10.7%2.0 PA

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Josh Jung (R)11.2%3.0 PA

3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.1%3.0 PA

4Wyatt Langford (R)12.3%2.5 PA

5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.7%2.0 PA

6Evan Carter (L)12.0%2.0 PA

7Jake Burger (R)11.3%2.0 PA

8Kyle Higashioka (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Nicky Lopez (L)10.7%2.0 PA