‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026
SD @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
3–7
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 89°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, Out To RF
Griffin Canning · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.8 BF
Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)14.6%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)12.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)13.1%2.8 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)14.8%2.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)13.0%2.0 PA
6Coby Mayo (R)11.6%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)14.2%2.0 PA
8Tyler O'Neill (R)10.1%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)14.3%2.0 PA
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.1%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)9.9%3.0 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)11.3%3.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.7%3.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)12.2%3.0 PA
7Ty France (R)9.7%2.9 PA
8Will Wagner (L)10.3%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)10.5%2.0 PA