MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026

COL @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
46
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Las Vegas BallparkCenter Field 415 ft 103°F ClearWind 5 mph, Out To RF

COL Sean Sullivan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Shea Langeliers (R)17.8%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)14.5%3.0 PA
3Colby Thomas (R)13.1%3.0 PA
4Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.9%3.0 PA
5Jacob Wilson (R)10.8%3.0 PA
6Jonah Heim (R)15.0%2.0 PA
7Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Max Muncy (R)13.6%2.0 PA
9Henry Bolte (R)14.0%2.0 PA

ATH Gage Jump · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)12.2%3.0 PA
2Kyle Karros (R)12.5%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)7.8%3.0 PA
4Hunter Goodman (R)11.5%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)8.8%3.0 PA
6Cole Carrigg (R)11.7%2.7 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Braxton Fulford (R)11.4%2.0 PA
9Chad Stevens (R)10.5%2.0 PA