SEA @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

3–8

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 88°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, Out To RF

Luis Castillo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)17.5%3.0 PA

2Luis García Jr. (L)12.5%3.0 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)14.0%3.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)15.5%2.0 PA

5Daylen Lile (L)13.6%2.0 PA

6Dylan Crews (R)10.1%2.0 PA

7José Tena (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Drew Millas (L)12.5%2.0 PA

9Nasim Nuñez (L)9.6%2.0 PA

Cade Cavalli · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Cole Young (L)11.4%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)12.4%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)10.4%3.0 PA

4Luke Raley (L)11.5%3.0 PA

5Dominic Canzone (L)14.1%3.0 PA

6Victor Robles (R)12.4%3.0 PA

7Miles Mastrobuoni (L)10.4%2.2 PA

8Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Colt Emerson (L)13.7%2.0 PA