‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
CHC @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
6–1
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 62°F ClearWind 10 mph, Out To CF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload18.1 BF
Expected batters faced18.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.8%2.1 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)15.9%2.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)11.3%2.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)14.5%2.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.2%2.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.3%2.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)12.4%2.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)11.4%2.0 PA
9Eric Haase (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Trevor McDonald · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.5%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)12.4%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)12.2%3.0 PA
4Seiya Suzuki (R)12.4%3.0 PA
5Ian Happ (L)15.1%3.0 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)8.4%2.4 PA
7Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.1%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)12.8%2.0 PA