ATL @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

3–1

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 88°F SunnyWind 8 mph, Out To RF

Martín Pérez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.5 BF

Expected batters faced18.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)15.6%2.5 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)13.2%2.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)13.0%2.0 PA

4Mark Vientos (R)10.0%2.0 PA

5Marcus Semien (R)10.7%2.0 PA

6Francisco Alvarez (R)9.9%2.0 PA

7Eric Wagaman (R)12.0%2.0 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.9%2.0 PA

9Vidal Bruján (R)11.1%2.0 PA

Sean Manaea · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.0 BF

Expected batters faced16.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Mauricio Dubón (R)10.3%2.0 PA

2Michael Harris II (L)11.2%2.0 PA

3Ozzie Albies (R)12.3%2.0 PA

4Matt Olson (L)14.5%2.0 PA

5Austin Riley (R)10.8%2.0 PA

6Eli White (R)11.8%2.0 PA

7Jorge Mateo (R)15.6%2.0 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)10.1%1.0 PA

9Sandy León (R)9.5%1.0 PA