STL @ MIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

9–6

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 71°F SunnyWind 13 mph, Out To LF

Matthew Liberatore · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Austin Martin (R)13.9%3.0 PA

2Byron Buxton (R)14.0%3.0 PA

3Kody Clemens (L)11.5%3.0 PA

4Royce Lewis (R)12.0%2.9 PA

5Brooks Lee (R)9.9%2.0 PA

6Orlando Arcia (R)10.0%2.0 PA

7Ryan Kreidler (R)12.6%2.0 PA

8Luke Keaschall (R)11.2%2.0 PA

9Alex Jackson (R)12.3%2.0 PA

Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Masyn Winn (R)10.7%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)14.1%3.0 PA

3Jordan Walker (R)16.4%3.0 PA

4Nelson Velázquez (R)13.1%3.0 PA

5Alec Burleson (L)11.2%2.1 PA

6Blaze Jordan (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7José Fermín (R)12.5%2.0 PA

8Pedro Pagés (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Nathan Church (L)12.3%2.0 PA