‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
AZ @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
1–2
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 85°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, L To R
Michael Soroka · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Edwin Arroyo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)13.8%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.0%3.0 PA
4Nathaniel Lowe (L)10.0%3.0 PA
5Spencer Steer (R)13.4%3.0 PA
6Eugenio Suárez (R)9.9%2.6 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)9.6%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)8.6%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)11.9%2.0 PA
Rhett Lowder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.0 BF
Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)10.8%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)15.2%3.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)12.0%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)10.9%2.0 PA
5Pavin Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (L)12.2%2.0 PA
7Tommy Troy (R)12.0%2.0 PA
8Adrian Del Castillo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)9.0%2.0 PA