MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026

TEX @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
36
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 87°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, L To R

TEX Jacob deGrom · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)9.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)10.0%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.9%2.7 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%2.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)14.2%2.0 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Carlos Narváez (R)10.0%2.0 PA

BOS Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TEX lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Wyatt Langford (R)12.4%3.0 PA
2Justin Foscue (R)13.2%3.0 PA
3Josh Jung (R)12.7%3.0 PA
4Ezequiel Duran (R)11.2%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)12.4%2.4 PA
6Cody Freeman (R)11.6%2.0 PA
7Michael Helman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Elias Díaz (R)11.3%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.6%2.0 PA