‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
SD @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
9–3
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 86°F CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
Randy Vásquez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)14.6%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)12.7%3.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)14.8%3.0 PA
4Samuel Basallo (L)13.0%3.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)13.3%2.4 PA
6Colton Cowser (L)14.2%2.0 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)10.1%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)14.3%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)12.3%2.0 PA
Trey Gibson · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.4 BF
Expected batters faced20.4
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.2 ER
Expected earned runs — each lineup spot's probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.1%3.0 PA
2Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)9.9%2.4 PA
4Xander Bogaerts (R)11.3%2.0 PA
5Gavin Sheets (L)12.7%2.0 PA
6Samad Taylor (R)12.2%2.0 PA
7Will Wagner (L)10.3%2.0 PA
8Jase Bowen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)10.5%2.0 PA